Mists of Pandaria discussion

[Lissa]

Not really. Just about every single MMO peaks around the 5th to 6th year and declines, just not as rapidly as WoW is going through. Go back and take a look at subscribers for UO, Asheron's Call, and EQ, you'll see the same situation, subscribers build for the first few years, a peak occurs around the 5th to 6th year of the MMO, then declines. What is telling is the loss rate.

WoW is not just any MMO.

If you throw together Ultima Online, Asheron's Call, EverQuest, and let's for argument's sake throw in Dark Age of Camelot, you would get around one million subscribers. WoW has, currently, over 11 million active subscribers.

That is less than ten percent. WoW has lost as many subscribers as those MMOs put together.

WoW is not going to "die." It is ridiculous; any other MMO would be considered wildly successful with less than 5% of its current subscriber base.

Your comments show you obviously don't understand. The point is to watch the trends, not the number of subscribers, but the trends of subscribers. Hell, throw in Legacy as another one to look at, it was the "King" until about halfway through Vanilla with over 3 Million subscribers, but it too followed the trend, after 5 to 6 years, it started losing subscribers. The biggest thing to take away is this: the loss rate that WoW is seeing is far higher than the loss rate seen by those other MMOs, those other MMOs didn't loss 8% of their subscriber base in 6 months after their peak. Sheer numbers is not a useful statistic here, percentages and loss rates is a better thing to look at and WoW is simply losing its subscribers faster than previous MMOs that peaked.