03-06-2003, 09:28 PM
>What I don't see happening is a "US style
>democracy" evolving. I am concerned that some
>people cling to that fantasy.
Seems to me that part of those "some" are the american government.
>So which will it be, and why?
>
>A constitutional monarchy?
>An Islamic Republic?
>A Progressive Muslim State, ala Turkey?
I would pick neither and go for the chaos situation for quite a while (many, many years). Perhaps pesimistic but that is my guess. Alternatively we get back to som situation not that different from today.
>The long term peace and stability of the Middle East
>rides on the outcome.
That will definately not come just because USA and Great Britain invade Iraq to remove some non wanted leader/reguime (spelling?), on the contrary I would say. I would also guess that it might actually spread into other countries (war and such, not really USA/GB going to neigbours and so on) plus increased "terrorism" versus for example USA/GB. I am sure any response will be classified as terrorism and not war, but I guess that has been covered in other threads allready :)
>democracy" evolving. I am concerned that some
>people cling to that fantasy.
Seems to me that part of those "some" are the american government.
>So which will it be, and why?
>
>A constitutional monarchy?
>An Islamic Republic?
>A Progressive Muslim State, ala Turkey?
I would pick neither and go for the chaos situation for quite a while (many, many years). Perhaps pesimistic but that is my guess. Alternatively we get back to som situation not that different from today.
>The long term peace and stability of the Middle East
>rides on the outcome.
That will definately not come just because USA and Great Britain invade Iraq to remove some non wanted leader/reguime (spelling?), on the contrary I would say. I would also guess that it might actually spread into other countries (war and such, not really USA/GB going to neigbours and so on) plus increased "terrorism" versus for example USA/GB. I am sure any response will be classified as terrorism and not war, but I guess that has been covered in other threads allready :)
There are three types of people in the world. Those who can count and those who can't.