08-08-2008, 08:32 AM
Hi,
It's the unforeseen problems that kill technologies. And that is why pilot programs are needed. And why, until a technology has been successfully used for some time, it is unproven and untrustworthy.
So, I hope that solar will eventually pay off. I know that solar heating has done quite a lot. But I sure don't want to bet the future of our technological society on something that has been 'almost there' for half a century.
--Pete
Quote:Pete, a lot of things have changed.Yeah, I know. I read Science News every week.
Quote:Both have been produced in small scale and work reasonably well, we are not talking about the big breakthrough that nuclear fusion needs).You see, there's the past, the present, and the future. I am seldom positive about the present, infrequently about the past, and *never* about the future. I've seen too many ideas, technologies, concepts, etc., that had great promise and never amounted to anything. Years ago, Physics Teacher had a humorous 'exam' in its April issue. In that exam, it asked you to list all the undiscovered elementary particles, give their properties, and discuss how the laws of physics would be changed by the discovery of each. Of course, it can't be done, and the humor is in the contemplation.
. . .
Transparent cells, flexible cells etc. have all been prepared on small scale and do work, the bottlenecks now are small adjustments and things like durability. Further it will mainly be infrastructure.
I am positive about this.
It's the unforeseen problems that kill technologies. And that is why pilot programs are needed. And why, until a technology has been successfully used for some time, it is unproven and untrustworthy.
So, I hope that solar will eventually pay off. I know that solar heating has done quite a lot. But I sure don't want to bet the future of our technological society on something that has been 'almost there' for half a century.
--Pete
How big was the aquarium in Noah's ark?